Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.019063 0.020986 0.022923 0.025014 0.027205 0.029426 0.031845
2025-06-22 0.014954 0.017921 0.021037 0.024529 0.028312 0.032266 0.036692
2025-06-29 0.011742 0.015238 0.019052 0.023465 0.028376 0.033628 0.039627
2025-07-06 0.009320 0.013090 0.017357 0.022436 0.028223 0.034533 0.041855
2025-07-13 0.008136 0.012208 0.016955 0.022732 0.029430 0.036833 0.045522
2025-07-20 0.006831 0.011033 0.016091 0.022387 0.029816 0.038136 0.048008
2025-07-27 0.005829 0.010126 0.015459 0.022239 0.030363 0.039567 0.050588
2025-08-03 0.005515 0.010072 0.015844 0.023283 0.032283 0.042552 0.054917
2025-08-10 0.004659 0.009204 0.015146 0.022956 0.032537 0.043581 0.056982
2025-08-17 0.003897 0.008385 0.014449 0.022580 0.032693 0.044462 0.058848
2025-08-24 0.003236 0.007637 0.013791 0.022210 0.032819 0.045280 0.060615
2025-08-31 0.002690 0.006997 0.013234 0.021931 0.033028 0.046172 0.062450
2025-09-07 0.002207 0.006461 0.012873 0.022006 0.033816 0.047929 0.065522
2025-09-14 0.001615 0.005645 0.012081 0.021512 0.033917 0.048909 0.067749
2025-09-21 0.001029 0.004676 0.010967 0.020514 0.033331 0.049023 0.068925
2025-09-28 0.000595 0.003830 0.009936 0.019556 0.032740 0.049089 0.070007
2025-10-05 0.000433 0.003557 0.009795 0.019831 0.033742 0.051110 0.073437
2025-10-12 0.000245 0.003086 0.009266 0.019511 0.033931 0.052102 0.075606
2025-10-19 0.000128 0.002724 0.008882 0.019374 0.034345 0.053360 0.078087
2025-10-26 0.000108 0.002764 0.009234 0.020344 0.036256 0.056513 0.082892
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.002390 0.008763 0.020039 0.036418 0.057437 0.084953
2025-11-09 0.000003 0.002038 0.008285 0.019691 0.036498 0.058241 0.086855
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001722 0.007829 0.019347 0.036564 0.059014 0.088707